Computers are getting faster and smarter every year- while people
stumble along running the same old "operating system"
which served us well on the plains of the Serengeti, but hasn't
changed in a few millennia. So one day, the computers must
pull ahead....... This article first appeared in WIRED 3.03
March 1994, entitled Faded Genes.
There is endless hype surrounding the growth of the
Internet, let alone any business printing a gratuitous URL
on a cracker box or a magazine ad. Before investing your hard
earned cash in long term positions on Internet stocks- you might
want to read this piece entitled Collision in Cyberspace written in early
"Faded Genes" takes place in 2088, while"Collision
in Cyberspace" viewed the end of the late 90's. But the hardest
predictions to make live half a generation away- who would have
predicted the a walk on the moon in 1969, before the age of flying
machines in the 1910's? And who would have predicted the last
moon walk occurred thirty years ago-shouldn't space exploration
have continued unabated?
essays contain predictions that are, well, predicted to be
true by 2025. To arrive at these hopefully provocative and
interesting stream of prognostications, I use a combination of
mathematical extrapolations, analogies with the past, trust in
the constancy of human behavior, and just plain intuition.
hope to live at least to 2025, so unlike Nostradamus, we can both
rigorously calculate a batting average based on actual results.
And the predictions will be clear and precise- not mired in rhyme
and mystical allusions.
of these predictions first appeared in print, others are unique
to this web site.
I'll add a new prediction whenever I find the time, and keep
score along the way. Until then, try inventing the future by solving
these vexing problems.